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Hunter Henry Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -215.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.1% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 136.5 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

After totaling 44.0 air yards per game last season, Hunter Henry has seen a big uptick this season, now pacing 56.0 per game.

Hunter Henry's 45.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 56.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a measly 54.4 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

While Hunter Henry has been responsible for 31.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of New England's pass game near the goal line in this contest at 24.3%.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

Hunter Henry TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6