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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-340).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +235.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • Hunter Henry has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 30.6% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Hunter Henry grades out in the lofty 92nd percentile among TEs this year, accruing a monstrous 42.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).
  • Hunter Henry's 37.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 44.2.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL against the Seahawks defense this year (66.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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