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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+192/-245).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +215 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +192.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • Hunter Henry has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 27.9% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
  • When talking about air yards, Hunter Henry grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating an impressive 42.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Hunter Henry's 38.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 44.2.
  • Hunter Henry's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 75.1% to 68.8%.
  • This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a meager 0.21 passing touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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