Hunter Henry Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Touchdowns

New England Patriots vs New York Giants · Week 13, 2025

Updated Dec 2, 2025 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.
With a sizeable 25.5% Red Zone Target Share (93rd percentile) this year, Hunter Henry stands as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
Hunter Henry has notched a colossal 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among tight ends.
When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
Hunter Henry grades out in the 90th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.38 per game.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
Hunter Henry's 38.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 44.2.
Hunter Henry's 70.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a meaningful regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 75.1% mark.