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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, Hunter Henry is anticipated by the projections to land in the 94th percentile among tight ends with 6.2 targets.
  • Hunter Henry ranks in the 98th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 45.8 mark this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 125.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Hunter Henry's 3.1 adjusted catches per game this season marks a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last season's 4.2 mark.
  • Hunter Henry's 71.0% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a material decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 75.1% mark.

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