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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 23

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • In this week's game, Hunter Henry is expected by the projections to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.4 targets.
  • The New England offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).
  • Hunter Henry's 37.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 44.2.
  • Hunter Henry's receiving skills have diminished this year, notching a mere 3.0 adjusted catches vs 4.2 last year.
  • This year, the stout Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a feeble 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-best rate in the league.

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