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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call 64.1 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.

In this contest, Hunter Henry is predicted by the projection model to place in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.9 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Hunter Henry's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 75.1% to 52.0%.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

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