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Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-134/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

The model projects Hunter Henry to notch 5.8 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Hunter Henry's 38.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 44.2.

Hunter Henry's 2.9 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 4.2 figure.

Hunter Henry's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 75.1% to 68.8%.

The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

Hunter Henry ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 16