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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to total 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The New York Giants safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Hunter Henry's 38.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 44.2.
  • Hunter Henry's 3.2 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a significant regression in his receiving skills over last season's 4.2 mark.

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