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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-101/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • The model projects Hunter Henry to total 5.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Hunter Henry's 36.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 44.2.
  • Hunter Henry's 2.7 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a substantial decline in his receiving talent over last season's 4.2 figure.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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