My Account Log Out

reorder

Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In this game, Hunter Henry is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.6 targets.

Hunter Henry has been heavily involved in his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 19.6% last year, which ranks in the 95th percentile among TEs.

With an outstanding 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) last year, Hunter Henry ranks among the best tight ends in the pass game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Last year, the imposing Raiders defense has allowed a paltry 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 10th-lowest rate in football.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™