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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have only 130.4 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (32.5 per game) this year.
  • In this week's contest, Hunter Henry is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets.
  • As it relates to air yards, Hunter Henry ranks in the lofty 93rd percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a monstrous 44.0 per game.
  • The Patriots O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Patriots are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Patriots have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 47.3 plays per game.
  • Hunter Henry's 37.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 44.2.
  • Hunter Henry's skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.06 figure last season.

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