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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.

In this contest, Hunter Henry is predicted by the projection model to place in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.9 targets.

When it comes to air yards, Hunter Henry grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accumulating a staggering 48.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 27.12 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo out of all the games this week.

The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Hunter Henry's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 75.1% to 52.0%.

Hunter Henry checks in as one of the weakest TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 2nd percentile.

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