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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to accumulate 5.4 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • When it comes to air yards, Hunter Henry ranks in the towering 90th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a striking 40.0 per game.
  • The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • With an impressive 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (91st percentile) this year, Hunter Henry stands as one of the top TEs in the pass game in football.
  • Hunter Henry's 9.9 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a meaningful growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 7.9 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see just 125.1 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
  • Hunter Henry's 37.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 44.2.

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