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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • In this game, Hunter Henry is expected by the projections to slot into the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.
  • In regards to air yards, Hunter Henry grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling a colossal 43.0 per game.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • With an outstanding 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (93rd percentile) this year, Hunter Henry has been as one of the leading TE receiving threats in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the model to run just 61.8 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.
  • Hunter Henry's 38.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 44.2.
  • Hunter Henry's 70.6% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a remarkable reduction in his receiving ability over last season's 75.1% figure.
  • Hunter Henry's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.06 rate last year.

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