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Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-111/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Hunter Henry is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among TEs with 5.2 targets.

Hunter Henry has notched a colossal 38.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among tight ends.

The Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Hunter Henry's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this season, averaging 9.18 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.86 rate last season.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New York's safety corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Patriots being a huge 12.5-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 4th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.6 per game) this year.

Hunter Henry's 35.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 44.2.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

Hunter Henry Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11