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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • The model projects Hunter Henry to total 5.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Hunter Henry has put up a massive 39.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among TEs.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Hunter Henry's pass-game effectiveness has improved this season, notching 9.74 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.86 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Hunter Henry's 36.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 44.2.
  • Hunter Henry has posted significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (44.0).
  • Hunter Henry's skills in picking up extra yardage have declined this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.06 figure last season.
  • This year, the imposing Buccaneers defense has yielded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.6 yards.

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