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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Hunter Henry is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.6 targets.
  • Hunter Henry has been heavily involved in his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 19.6% last year, which ranks in the 95th percentile among TEs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Hunter Henry ranks in the lofty 94th percentile among tight ends last year, totaling a monstrous 44.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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