Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 2, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.4% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to accumulate 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
Hunter Henry's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 67.4% to 71.6%.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
Hunter Henry has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).
Hunter Henry's 24.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 35.1.
Hunter Henry has accrued significantly fewer receiving yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (39.0).
The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) to TEs this year.

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