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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.4% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to accumulate 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
  • Hunter Henry's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 67.4% to 71.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Hunter Henry has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).
  • Hunter Henry's 24.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 35.1.
  • Hunter Henry has accrued significantly fewer receiving yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (39.0).
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) to TEs this year.

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