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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+223/-362).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +354 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +223.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Hunter Henry has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 17.9% this year, which ranks him in the 87th percentile among TEs.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the highest Completion% in the NFL (84%) versus tight ends this year (84.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Hunter Henry has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).

Hunter Henry's 24.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 34.8.

The New England Patriots offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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