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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.4 per game) this year.
  • Hayden Hurst's 17.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 23.2.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • With a lackluster 54.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (14th percentile) this year, Hayden Hurst rates among the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to tight ends.

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