Hayden Hurst Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Hayden Hurst

NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 15, 2024 7:22 PM EST

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
Hayden Hurst has run a route on 58.1% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.
The Panthers pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (78.7%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 5 points.
The predictive model expects the Chargers as the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 27.8 per game) since the start of last season.

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