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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • Hayden Hurst has been less involved as a potential target this year (74.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (44.9%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to total 5.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has given their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

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