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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).

Hayden Hurst has run a route on 58.1% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.

Hayden Hurst has notched a monstrous 30.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs.

The Panthers pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (78.7%).

The Panthers pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency against TEs since the start of last season, giving up 8.79 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 5 points.

The predictive model expects the Chargers as the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 27.8 per game) since the start of last season.

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