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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

This year, the poor Bengals pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 8th-highest rate in the league.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a measly 55.0 per game on average).

Hayden Hurst has gone out for fewer passes this season (46.2% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (56.6%).

After accumulating 29.0 air yards per game last season, Hayden Hurst has undergone a big decline this season, currently averaging 9.0 per game.

In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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