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Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-135).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop.With a high 56.6% Route Participation% (80th percentile) last year, Hayden Hurst has been among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.The predictive model expects Hayden Hurst to earn 4.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.Hayden Hurst has put up a whopping 29.0 air yards per game last year: 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 55.6% of their downs: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 125.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.With a feeble 57.5% Adjusted Catch% (2nd percentile) last year, Hayden Hurst places among the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to TEs.With a feeble 5.3 adjusted yards per target (6th percentile) last year, Hayden Hurst stands as one of the bottom pass-game TEs in football.
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