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Harrison Bryant

Harrison Bryant Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Harrison Bryant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-2000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -750 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 135.5 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Harrison Bryant places as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in football.
  • Harrison Bryant ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among TEs, hauling in a mere 67.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile.
  • With a lousy ratio of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Harrison Bryant places as one of the worst receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.
  • This year, the stout Broncos defense has yielded a measly 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the smallest rate in football.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 8th-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to TEs: 0.38 per game this year.

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