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Harrison Bryant

Harrison Bryant Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Harrison Bryant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1250/-1300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (60.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Houston Texans.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 133.0 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-fewest TDs in football (0.57 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Harrison Bryant has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 1st percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Harrison Bryant's 2.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the NFL: 19th percentile for tight ends.
  • Harrison Bryant ranks in the 1st percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging just 0.00 per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.5%) versus tight ends this year (71.5%).

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