Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Harrison Bryant has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).
Harrison Bryant's 26.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 14.1.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has not been good when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 11.82 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Harrison Bryant's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 77.5% to 64.5%.
Harrison Bryant's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging just 5.67 yards-per-target compared to a 8.54 figure last year.