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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 6th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 46.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • With an excellent rate of 48.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (75th percentile), Gus Edwards stands as one of the leading pure runners in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Taylor Heinicke.
  • The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.
  • Gus Edwards's running effectiveness has tailed off this season, notching a mere 2.89 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.35 mark last season.

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