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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+100/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

Out of all RBs, Gus Edwards grades out in the 76th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 45.0% of the workload in his team's running game.

Gus Edwards has averaged 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football among running backs (75th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

Gus Edwards's 2.9 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys a material decrease in his rushing ability over last season's 4.4 rate.

With a lousy tally of 1.97 yards after contact (7th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards ranks as one of the worst running backs in the league.

The Steelers safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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