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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Gus Edwards to be much more involved in his offense's ground game this week (51.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (36.5% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Denver's collection of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 36.7% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Gus Edwards's 30.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a meaningful drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 51.0 figure.
  • Gus Edwards's 3.5 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a material drop-off in his running proficiency over last season's 4.4 mark.

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