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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Gus Edwards Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (38.9 per game) this year.

With a fantastic 91.7% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Gus Edwards rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs.

This year, the poor Denver Broncos pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 88.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 6th-worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.

Gus Edwards places in just the 11th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) with a poor 1.7 figure this year.

With a mere 0.2 adjusted catches per game (1st percentile) this year, Gus Edwards stands as one of the worst pass-game running backs in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

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