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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • When talking about air yards, Gus Edwards grades out in the towering 89th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling an impressive 2.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • Gus Edwards ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in an impressive 100.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 100th percentile.
  • With an impressive 11.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Gus Edwards has been among the best pass-catching running backs in football in the open field.
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Chargers as the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 27.8 per game) since the start of last season.

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