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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Gus Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (38.9 per game) this year.

With a fantastic 91.7% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Gus Edwards rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs.

With an excellent 8.1 adjusted yards per target (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Gus Edwards has been among the leading pass-catching running backs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.

Gus Edwards places in just the 11th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) with a poor 1.7 figure this year.

Gus Edwards has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (0.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

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