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Gus Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop.Gus Edwards has totaled a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game last year: 88th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).With an exceptional 92.6% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) last year, Gus Edwards stands among the most reliable receivers in the league among running backs.Gus Edwards grades out as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among RBs, averaging an exceptional 8.88 adjusted yards-per-target last year while ranking in the 88th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 55.6% of their downs: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 125.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Las Vegas's group of DEs has been fantastic last year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
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