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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
  • Out of all RBs, Gus Edwards grades out in the 76th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 45.0% of the workload in his team's running game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may suffer.
  • The Steelers safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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