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Gunner Olszewski

Gunner Olszewski Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

Gunner Olszewski Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1500/-7750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -7750.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 139.6 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Giants have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the 7th-best in football this year.

The Saints defense has been torched for the 6th-most receiving touchdowns in football to WRs: 1.25 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 9th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (45.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Saints pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.7%) to wideouts since the start of last season (62.7%).

The Saints defensive tackles project as the worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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