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Gunner Olszewski

Gunner Olszewski Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Gunner Olszewski Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+950/-2800).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are enormous underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The Giants have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The New England Patriots defense has been gouged for the most touchdowns through the air in the league to wide receivers: 1.25 per game this year.
  • This year, the stout Patriots run defense has surrendered a mere 0.33 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the lowest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to pass on 55.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
  • The projections expect the Giants to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • While Gunner Olszewski has been responsible for 9.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of New York's pass game near the end zone in this game at 3.6%.
  • Gunner Olszewski has put up a mere 11.0 air yards per game this year: just 19th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

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