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Gunner Olszewski Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Gunner Olszewski Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jameis Winston.

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are big underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.

Right now, the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

The model projects Gunner Olszewski to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game this week (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.1% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.

Gunner Olszewski has accumulated a puny 13.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among wide receivers.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 7.52 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

More Gunner Olszewski Player Props

Gunner Olszewski Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Gunner Olszewski Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11