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Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Greg Dulcich Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+770/-1700).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +780 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +770.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Greg Dulcich has put up many more air yards this year (15.0 per game) than he did last year (7.0 per game).
  • Greg Dulcich's 22.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 7.4.
  • Greg Dulcich's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 47.9% to 68.6%.
  • The Jets defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.58 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Miami Dolphins.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.8 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

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