My Account Log Out
 
 
Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Greg Dulcich Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Greg Dulcich has been a much bigger part of his team's passing offense this season (11.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (3.5%).
  • Greg Dulcich's 80.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects an impressive improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 47.9% mark.
  • The Buccaneers pass defense has been gouged for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.4%) to tight ends this year (78.4%).
  • The Buccaneers linebackers project as the 4th-worst LB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 124.5 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 51.9 per game on average).
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the worst in the league this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™