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Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Greg Dulcich's 71.4% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a substantial boost in his receiving skills over last year's 47.9% rate.
  • The Commanders pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (82.6%) to TEs this year (82.6%).
  • The Commanders pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus TEs this year, surrendering 9.61 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to run just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 51.7 per game on average).
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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