Greg Dulcich Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Greg Dulcich

NFL · Player Props

Greg Dulcich

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving TD

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Greg Dulcich Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-400).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded the 9th-most passing touchdowns in the league to TEs: 0.42 per game this year.
The Denver Broncos O-line has given their quarterback 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 10th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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