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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Greg Dortch Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+750/-950).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -910 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -950.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to use backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The Cardinals rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.0% pass rate.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have only 131.2 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Greg Dortch to be a less important option in his offense's passing game near the goal line in this contest (8.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.9% in games he has played).
  • Greg Dortch has put up far fewer air yards this year (-3.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).
  • Greg Dortch's 10.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 17.2.
  • The Cardinals offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

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