My Account Log Out

reorder

Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+660/-870).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -750 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -870.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 129.9 total plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

Greg Dortch's 90.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a meaningful gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 81.4% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect Greg Dortch to be much less involved in his team's air attack near the end zone in this week's contest (7.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.0% in games he has played).

After accruing 11.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dortch has regressed heavily this season, now boasting -2.0 per game.

Greg Dortch's 10.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 17.2.

Greg Dortch grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

More Greg Dortch Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™