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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Greg Dortch Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+650/-1050).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -810 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1050.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Greg Dortch comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching an exceptional 82.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the league vs. the Titans defense since the start of last season (73.5% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Cardinals are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Greg Dortch has received 8.3% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th among wideouts).

After averaging 11.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dortch has significantly declined this season, now sitting at -1.0 per game.

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