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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Greg Dortch Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+520/-770).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1050 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +520.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals rank as the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.8 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Our trusted projections expect Greg Dortch to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (8.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • The Cardinals are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Greg Dortch has garnered 9.1% of red zone carries this year (0th among WRs).
  • When it comes to air yards, Greg Dortch grades out in just the 25th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accruing just 10.0 per game.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on the back of Greg Dortch's trading card this year.

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