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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-4500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

With an outstanding 82.1% Adjusted Completion% (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Greg Dortch ranks among the best possession receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals have run the 10th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.

Arizona's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats too low) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Greg Dortch, who has received 2.5% of his offense's carries near the goal line since the start of last season (93rd percentile), is in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Arizona red zone running game.

With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Greg Dortch places as one of the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in football.

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