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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Greg Dortch Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-340).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -340.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals may pass less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett.
  • This week's line implies a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 62.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.5% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the model to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-highest number on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Greg Dortch has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (-2.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).
  • Greg Dortch's 7.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 17.2.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Cardinals ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Greg Dortch has rushed for 0.10 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL when it comes to WRs and TEs (91st percentile).

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